which can be tied to forecasting, example: https://github.com/covidcaremap/covid19-healthsystemcapacity/blob/master/notebooks/processing/PPE_Burn_Rate_from_IHME.ipynb
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- i'm impressed by a number of states that have done a pretty great job of publicly reporting a lot of breadth and depth in relation to metrics on Cases/Deaths, Syndromic Surveillance, Testing Capacity, Health System Capacity, Public Health Capacity categories. Especially those states that have hospital capacity and/or PPE data. For example: AK, IL, IN, MA, MI, MN, NC, OK, OR, PA, TX, WI
- a lot of reporting on outbreaks and deaths in congregate living facilities, more than i expected but this is a key high-risk population so makes sense
- almost no official data shared about public health capacity, i.e. contact tracing. Only North Carolina has talked about it in any way
- almost nothing on symptom reporting and tracking in the community (before encountering medical system) per Jasmin's suggestion. Only state that has something like it is Oklahoma
data sources/collection systems for each metric category runs the gamut from local --> national systems per state - so. many. dashboards. arcgis and tableau being the most common vendors, then power bi. Lots of PDFs too which actually work pretty well IMO as a shareable data visualization/comm format.
- not nearly enough open data hub access or ability to download the source data for aggregation and further analysis
- hospital capacity and PPE data is particularly inconsistent and spotty in reporting, whether by what categories of beds/equipment/supplies or the spatial aggregations used
On mapathon continuation: Would Friday 4pm ET (same time as last event) work for folks here? Any argument for moving it to a different day of the week?
I'll budget some time this week to go over the workflow and make it less complex for volunteers. Curating a list of source links for them beforehand being the most important change.
@daveluo yes please, maybe tomorrow afternoon?
Happy to run the mapathon by myself no problem, but the volunteers really benefit from hearing someone from this team's perspectives on the state of data for public health response. Most of the volunteers were students who are in final exams, so their schedules are pretty unpredictable. We could easily change the day. Sometime during east coast evening is probably still best.
WA has a new risk assessment dashboard out, i think to go with their phased reopening plan:
- https://coronavirus.wa.gov/what-you-need-know/covid-19-risk-assessment-dashboard
- https://medium.com/wagovernor/inslee-signs-new-covid-19-order-for-phased-re-opening-of-washingtons-economy-ad5ea919ab56
Ticks almost all the boxes (except about healthcare worker exposure), could use more granularity of detail, better data reporting formats than PDFs, more unified viz but hey, it's a promising start
https://khn.org/news/true-toll-of-covid-19-on-u-s-health-care-workers-unknown/
The number of health care workers who have tested positive for the coronavirus is likely far higher than the reported tally of 9,200, and U.S. officials say they have no comprehensive way to count those who lose their lives trying to save others.
Of the confirmed cases in China, 3.8% (1 716/44 672) were healthcare workers. Of those, 14.8% were severely or critically ill and five of the severe cases died [74]. Latest figures reported from Italy show that 10% of COVID-19 cases are healthcare workers [69], with the Lombardy region reporting up to 20% of cases in healthcare workers [75]. In Spain, the latest COVID-19 situation overview from the Ministry of Health reports that 20% of COVID-19 cases are in healthcare workers [66]. In the US, overall, only 3% (9 282/315 531) of reported cases were among healthcare workers; however, among states with more complete reporting, healthcare workers accounted for 11% of reported cases [76]. In a Dutch study, healthcare workers were tested voluntarily for COVID-19 and 6% tested
positive [77]. In a report on 30 cases in healthcare workers in China, all cases had a history of direct contact (distance within 1 metre) with COVID-19 patients, with an average number of 12 contacts (7 ̶16), and the average cumulative contact time being two hours (1.5 ̶2.7) [78]. In the Dutch study, only 3% of healthcare workers reported being exposed to hospital patients with COVID-19 prior to onset of symptoms and 63% had worked while asymptomatic [77]. In the US, from 1 423 healthcare workers, 55% reported a known contact with a laboratoryconfirmed COVID-19 patient in the 14 days before illness onset [76].
"What's Behind South Korea's COVID-19 Exceptionalism?" https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/05/whats-south-koreas-secret/611215/
Fast Testing:
In late January, just one week after the country’s first case was diagnosed, government officials urged medical companies to develop coronavirus test kits and told manufacturers to prepare for mass production. By mid-February—while the U.K. was talking about “herd immunity” and President Donald Trump was predicting that the virus would “miraculously” disappear in weeks—South Korea was churning out thousands of test kits every day. By March 5, South Korea had tested 145,000 people—more than the U.S., the U.K., France, Italy, and Japan combined.
High Tech Expansive Tracing:
The national mapping of citizen activity yields fast results. On a Saturday in April, a 58-year-old man was diagnosed with the coronavirus. Surveillance data showed that he had voted in the election and visited several restaurants in previous days. Within 48 hours, South Korea had identified—and, in some cases, interviewed—more than 1,000 people who had potentially come into contact with him. All of them were instructed to self-isolate, thus cordoning off the virus’s spread. By the end of the month, no new clusters appeared in the Korean infection data.
Zero Tolerance Isolation:
To separate the sick from the healthy—and the somewhat sick from the very sick—South Korea’s patients are divided into several groups. The elderly and those with serious illnesses go straight to hospitals. Moderately sick people are sent to isolation dorms, where they’re monitored. And the asymptomatic “contacts” of recently diagnosed cases are asked to self-quarantine at home and use separate bathrooms, dishes, and towels from their cohabitants. Health-service officials check in twice daily to monitor their symptoms.
International arrivals are also subject to isolation rules. South Korea requires that foreign arrivals self-isolate for two weeks. Koreans arriving from overseas are required to download an app that registers their symptoms in the days after their arrival.
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FYI: Next mapathon will be Wednesday the 13th!
CovidCareMap Mapathon
Wednesday, May 13
5:30pm – 7:30pm Eastern Daylight Time
Please RSVP before the event: https://airtable.com/shrWMZWNnL8VLFD7D
Video meetup: meet.google.com/tsp-dxsh-fvt
Connect by phone: +1 484-841-9993 PIN: 729 825 903#
https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/2020/04/16/coronavirus-covid-19-field-hospital-army-corps-of-engineers-samaritans-purse-central-park-tcf-center/5119808002/
See what we collected at https://airtable.com/shrId9GL5mXSOHEGg/tblDQlqWVsC6e7hpb
After going thru and finding everything out there for all 50 states, we now know about 36K COVID cases among HCWs, which is the highest count i've seen so far and 4x the CDC reported number from last month. It's also higher than the 31K reported in this investigative report which just came out 2 days ago: https://www.revealnews.org/article/31000-and-counting/
What we have is still vastly incomplete with semi-outdated news sources. Only 10 states officially reporting HCW case numbers (via dashboards) + PA with daily press announcements
